Deepcaster Fortress Assets Newsletter: Wealth Protection – Wealth Enhancement – Financial and Geopolitical Intelligence


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re. Deepcaster's 1/11/13 article: "Gain from Power Elite’s Key Sector Price Inflation"

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re. Deepcaster's 7/20/12 article
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60% Profit on a Telecommunications Company on March 11, 2015 after just over 3 years (i.e., about 20% Annualized)

45% Profit on a Double Short ETF on January 22, 2015 after just 9 months (i.e., about 59% Annualized)

23% Profit on a leveraged ETN on the Volatility Index on January 6, 2015 after just 119 days (i.e., about 70% Annualized)

85% Profit on a REIT on December 31, 2014 after just 3 years (i.e., about 25% Annualized)

105% Profit on a leveraged ETN on the Volatility Index on October 15, 2014 after just 36 days (i.e., about 1090% Annualized)

70% Profit on Russell 2000 Small Cap Sector Put on October 10, 2014 after just 2 days (i.e., about 12775% Annualized)

70% Profit on Russell 2000 Small Cap Sector Put on October 1, 2014 after just 8 days (i.e., about 3215% Annualized)

55% Profit on Double Short Euro Call on August 6, 2014 after just 106 days (i.e., about 200% Annualized)

65% Profit on Energy Storage & Management Company on July 15, 2014 after 342 days (i.e., about 70% Annualized)

95% Profit on Crude Oil Call on June 11, 2014 after just 73 days (i.e., about 470% Annualized)

75% Profit on Equity Index Call on May 27, 2014 after 21 days (i.e., about 1305% Annualized)

30% Profit on Equity Index Call on May 13, 2014 after 34 days (i.e., about 320% Annualized)

75% Profit on Crude Oil Call on April 14, 2014 after 13 days (i.e., about 2000% Annualized)

60% Profit on Water Management Company on March 3, 2014 after 454 days (i.e., about 50% Annualized)

For Deepcaster's Latest Forecasts for Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, and Long-Term Interest Rates, click on "Alerts Cache" and "Latest Letter" below.

"Beta usually trumps Alpha."
"Buy & Hold" rarely works anymore.

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ALERT - Week Ending March 20, 2015 - "Top Sector Crash Candidate; BUY RECO; Forecasts: U.S. Dollar/Euro, U.S. T-Notes, T- Bonds, & Interest Rates; Crude Oil & Copper; Equities; Gold & Silver"

Deepcaster's APRIL 2015 Letter - "The Great Power Shift: Profits & Antidotes re Impending Mega-Move; Forecasts: U.S. Dollar/Euro, U.S. T-Notes, T- Bonds, & Interest Rates; Crude Oil & Copper; Equities; Gold & Silver"

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“In a May regulatory filing, the firm wrote it believed that ‘making investment decisions by looking solely at the fundamentals of individual companies is no longer a viable investment philosophy.’

“… ‘While individual company analysis will always be important,’ it said, ‘the health, or the change in the health, of the financial system is the starting point of all analysis.’

“There is a growing gap between the financial markets and the real economy.”
– Steve Eisman, Fund Manager, via ZeroHedge, 07/04/2014

"Over the next seven years we think the market will have negative returns. The next bust will be unlike any other because the Fed and other central banks around the world have taken on all this leverage that was out there and put it on their balance sheets. We have never had this before. Assets are overpriced generally. They will become cheap again. That's how we will pay for this. It's going to be very painful for investors....

"It's quite likely that the recovery has been slowed down because of the Fed's actions. Go back to the 1980s, and the US had an aggregate debt level of about 1.3 times GDP. Then we had a massive spike over the next two decades to about 3.3 times debt. And GDP over that time has slowed. There isn't any room in that data for the belief that more debt creates growth."
– Jeremy Grantham (cofounder and chief investment strategist at GMO, March 2014 - (called both the Internet Bubble and the Housing Bubble)

"The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency: the second is war. Both bring temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists."
– Ernest Hemingway
"Money printing creates illusory wealth and buys time, but if it was truly the answer to a deleveraging cycle, Zimbabwe would be a member of the G10."
– David Rosenberg, Gluskin Sheff, January, 2013

"The future price tag of printing six trillion dollars worth of checks comes in the form of inflation and devaluation of currencies either relative to each other, or to commodities in less limitless supply such as oil or gold.
Zero-bound interest rates, QE Maneuvering, and 'essentially costless' check writing, destroy business models and stunt investment decisions which offer increasingly lower ROIs and ROEs..."

--Bill Gross, Founder and Co-Chief Investment Officer PIMCO, January, 2013

The reality is that the stock market as an asset class has delivered almost no net return at all since 1999 [...] One cannot look at the latest secular phase of no-returns without the context of the spectacular 18% average annual gains during the secular bull phase from 1980 to 1999. The “market” is still in the process of mean-reverting the excess outperformance during that two-decade Reagan-Clinton era run."
– David Rosenberg, Gluskin Sheff, January, 2012

"The pace and severity of financial crises has taken an ominous turn for the worse....
With one crisis seemingly begetting another, and the fuse between crises now getting shorter and shorter, the world economy is on a very treacherous course."
Stephen Roach, Morgan Stanley, May, 2010

“Wherever we look at the world economy today, we see a wall of risk…and potential financial catastrophe. We see a large number of virtually bankrupt major sovereign states (US, UK, Spain, Italy, Greece, Japan and many more) teetering atop a financial system that is bankrupt, but is temporarily kept alive with phony valuations and unlimited money printing….....The consequence of this rescue mission will be a hyperinflationary depression in many countries, due to many currencies becoming worthless."
“The Sovereign Debt Disaster”, Egon von Greyerz – Matterhorn Asset Management Zurich, Switzerland, February 23, 2010

"...full force of the economic crisis will hit us next year...
The problem will get bigger before things can get better..."

--Angela Merkel, German Chancellor, November 11, 2009

"What this crisis reveals is a broken financial system like no other in my lifetime"
--Paul Volcker, Former Chairman, U.S. Federal Reserve (November 16, 2008)
"This is going to be one of the worst economic downturns since the Great Depression."
--Nobel Laureate Economist Joseph Stiglitz, April 25, 2008"
"Right now, the rest of the world owns $3 trillion more of us than we own of them. In my view, it will create political turmoil at some point. Pretty soon, I think there will be a big adjustment."
--Warren Buffet, speaking at the University of Nevada, Reno, January, 2006--
"We're clearly on an imprudent and unsustainable fiscal path. Our current liabilities and unfunded commitments as of the end of the last fiscal year amounted to over $43 trillion, up to $13 trillion in one year alone."
- -David Walker, U.S. Comptroller General (April 11, 2005)- -
"America has no better than a 10% chance of avoiding economic "Armageddon."
- -Stephen Roach, Chief Economist, Morgan Stanley, (Boston Herald, November 23, 2004)
"...the U.S. government is, indeed, bankrupt, insofar as it will be unable to pay its creditors, who, in this context, are current and future generations to whom it has explicitly or implicitly promised future net payments of various kinds..."
- -Professor L. Kotlikoff, for the U. S. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. (July, 2006)
"There are disturbing trends: huge imbalances, disequilibria, risks -- call them what you will. Altogether the circumstances seem to me as dangerous and intractable as any I can remember, and I can remember quite a lot. We're borrowing so much from abroad that we're skating on thin ice. Can we correct this problem without some kind of international financial crisis?" Regarding the need for policies that reverse the triple deficit, "I don't know whether the change will come with a bang or a whimper, whether sooner or later. But as things stand, it is more likely than not that it will be financial crises rather than policy foresight that will force the change."
- -Paul Volcker, Former Federal Reserve Chairman, (April 10, 2005)

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